Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 10:00 AM
Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–3 Mississippi Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 73% chance. Pre-match odds were 13% home, 14% draw, 73% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | Mississippi Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-3 | 7-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 2.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L D L | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 vs Germantown Legends | 7–0 at Germantown Legends |
| Worst loss | 0–9 vs Alabama FC Huntsville | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.38 | +2.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.32 | -0.68 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–3 (home for Tennessee SC Murfreesboro)
Common opponents: Lobos Rush — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 4–0; Mississippi Surf 2–0. Germantown Legends — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 9–0; Mississippi Surf 7–0. Tennessee SC — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 1–2; Mississippi Surf 1–1.
What's at stake
| Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | Mississippi Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 65% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 26% |
| Average finish | 4.5 | 2.1 |
How the results connect
35 chains
7 favour Tennessee SC Murfreesboro, 26 favour Mississippi Surf, 2 even; average margin -3.0 goals toward Tennessee SC Murfreesboro.
- -1Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Mississippi Surf 2–3
- -1Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Tennessee SC 1–2 → Tennessee SC drew with Mississippi Surf 1–1
- +2Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Germantown Legends 9–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 0–7
- +2Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Lobos Rush 4–0 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Surf 0–2
- 0Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Alabama FC 4–1 → Alabama FC lost to FC Alliance TN 2–3 → FC Alliance TN lost to Mississippi Surf 0–2
- 0Tennessee SC Murfreesboro drew with Mississippi Rush United 1–1 → Mississippi Rush United beat FC Alliance TN 5–0 → FC Alliance TN lost to Mississippi Surf 1–6
Full picture: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Mississippi Surf · Mid-America BU14 standings