Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 11:00 AM
Tennessee SC 1–1 Mississippi Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 23% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 40% home, 23% draw, 37% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Tennessee SC | Mississippi Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-0 | 7-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.43 | 2.75 |
| Goals for / game | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W D W | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 14–0 vs Germantown Legends | 7–0 at Germantown Legends |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.26 | +2.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.05 | -0.68 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 1–1 (home for Tennessee SC)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Tennessee SC 14–0; Mississippi Surf 7–0. Lobos Rush — Tennessee SC 5–0; Mississippi Surf 2–0. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Tennessee SC 2–1; Mississippi Surf 3–2.
What's at stake
| Tennessee SC | Mississippi Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 15% | 26% |
| Average finish | 2.4 | 2.1 |
How the results connect
35 chains
16 favour Tennessee SC, 15 favour Mississippi Surf, 4 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward Tennessee SC.
- 0Tennessee SC drew with Mississippi Surf 1–1
- 0Tennessee SC beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–1 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Mississippi Surf 2–3
- +3Tennessee SC beat Lobos Rush 5–0 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Surf 0–2
- +7Tennessee SC beat Germantown Legends 14–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 0–7
- 0Tennessee SC beat Mississippi Rush United 5–1 → Mississippi Rush United beat FC Alliance TN 3–2 → FC Alliance TN lost to Mississippi Surf 1–6
- 0Tennessee SC beat Lobos Rush 5–0 → Lobos Rush lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 0–4 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Mississippi Surf 2–3
Full picture: Tennessee SC · Mississippi Surf · Mid-America BU14 standings