Result · Sunday, Aug 23, 01:00 PM
VSA Rush 2–3 Gretna Elite Academy
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 69% home, 15% draw, 15% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | VSA Rush | Gretna Elite Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-3 | 3-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.88 | 1.29 |
| Goals for / game | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W W | L W L W L |
| Biggest win | 13–0 at Sporting Iowa Strikers | 8–0 at Sporting Iowa Strikers |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs FC United Iowa | 1–4 at Sporting Nebraska FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.04 | +0.49 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.87 | +0.32 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 2–3 (home for VSA Rush); Oct 10 1–0 (away for VSA Rush)
Common opponents: Sporting Nebraska FC — VSA Rush 4–2, 5–0; Gretna Elite Academy 1–4. Sporting Iowa Central — VSA Rush 0–1; Gretna Elite Academy 1–2, 1–0. Sporting Iowa Strikers — VSA Rush 13–0, 9–0; Gretna Elite Academy 8–0. FC United Iowa — VSA Rush 1–3; Gretna Elite Academy 1–2.
What's at stake
| VSA Rush | Gretna Elite Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 2 | 3 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 51% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.3 | 4.2 |
How the results connect
42 chains
31 favour VSA Rush, 8 favour Gretna Elite Academy, 3 even; average margin +2.7 goals toward VSA Rush.
- +1VSA Rush beat Gretna Elite Academy 1–0
- -1VSA Rush lost to Gretna Elite Academy 2–3
- 0VSA Rush lost to Sporting Iowa Central 0–1 → Sporting Iowa Central beat Gretna Elite Academy 2–1
- -1VSA Rush lost to FC United Iowa 1–3 → FC United Iowa beat Gretna Elite Academy 2–1
- +1VSA Rush beat Sporting Iowa Strikers 9–0 → Sporting Iowa Strikers lost to Gretna Elite Academy 0–8
- -2VSA Rush lost to Sporting Iowa Central 0–1 → Sporting Iowa Central lost to Gretna Elite Academy 0–1
Full picture: VSA Rush · Gretna Elite Academy · Heartland BU16 standings