Preview · Saturday, Mar 27, TBD
Kansas City Surf vs Toca Fusion Elite
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 home, 2.9 away)
| Season so far | Kansas City Surf | Toca Fusion Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 8-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 5.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 9–1 at Union KC Soccer Club Red | 11–1 vs Missouri Rush |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Toca Fusion Elite | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.69 | +3.53 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.43 | -0.23 |
Already met this season: Oct 21 0–3 (away for Kansas City Surf)
Common opponents: Missouri Rush — Kansas City Surf 6–0; Toca Fusion Elite 11–1. St. Louis Stars SC — Kansas City Surf 2–1; Toca Fusion Elite 4–1. FC Wichita — Kansas City Surf 3–1; Toca Fusion Elite 6–0. Union KC Soccer Club Navy — Kansas City Surf 2–4; Toca Fusion Elite 5–1. Union KC Soccer Club Red — Kansas City Surf 9–1; Toca Fusion Elite 1–0.
What's at stake
| Kansas City Surf | Toca Fusion Elite | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 100% |
| Average finish | 2.4 | 1.0 |
How the results connect
35 chains
10 favour Kansas City Surf, 22 favour Toca Fusion Elite, 3 even; average margin -1.6 goals toward Kansas City Surf.
- -3Kansas City Surf lost to Toca Fusion Elite 0–3
- -2Kansas City Surf beat St. Louis Stars SC 2–1 → St. Louis Stars SC lost to Toca Fusion Elite 1–4
- -4Kansas City Surf beat FC Wichita 3–1 → FC Wichita lost to Toca Fusion Elite 0–6
- -4Kansas City Surf beat Missouri Rush 6–0 → Missouri Rush lost to Toca Fusion Elite 1–11
- -6Kansas City Surf lost to Union KC Soccer Club Navy 2–4 → Union KC Soccer Club Navy lost to Toca Fusion Elite 1–5
- +7Kansas City Surf beat Union KC Soccer Club Red 9–1 → Union KC Soccer Club Red lost to Toca Fusion Elite 0–1
Full picture: Kansas City Surf · Toca Fusion Elite · Heartland BU14 standings