Result · Wednesday, Oct 21, 07:00 PM
Toca Fusion Elite 3–0 Kansas City Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 77% chance. Pre-match odds were 77% home, 12% draw, 11% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | Toca Fusion Elite | Kansas City Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-0 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 11–1 vs Missouri Rush | 9–1 at Union KC Soccer Club Red |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at Toca Fusion Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +3.53 | +1.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.23 | +0.43 |
Already met this season: Oct 21 3–0 (home for Toca Fusion Elite)
Common opponents: St. Louis Stars SC — Toca Fusion Elite 4–1; Kansas City Surf 2–1. Missouri Rush — Toca Fusion Elite 11–1; Kansas City Surf 6–0. Union KC Soccer Club Red — Toca Fusion Elite 1–0; Kansas City Surf 9–1. Union KC Soccer Club Navy — Toca Fusion Elite 5–1; Kansas City Surf 2–4. FC Wichita — Toca Fusion Elite 6–0; Kansas City Surf 3–1.
What's at stake
| Toca Fusion Elite | Kansas City Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 10 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 99% | 1% |
| Average finish | 1.0 | 2.4 |
How the results connect
35 chains
22 favour Toca Fusion Elite, 10 favour Kansas City Surf, 3 even; average margin +1.6 goals toward Toca Fusion Elite.
- +3Toca Fusion Elite beat Kansas City Surf 3–0
- +2Toca Fusion Elite beat St. Louis Stars SC 4–1 → St. Louis Stars SC lost to Kansas City Surf 1–2
- +4Toca Fusion Elite beat FC Wichita 6–0 → FC Wichita lost to Kansas City Surf 1–3
- +4Toca Fusion Elite beat Missouri Rush 11–1 → Missouri Rush lost to Kansas City Surf 0–6
- +6Toca Fusion Elite beat Union KC Soccer Club Navy 5–1 → Union KC Soccer Club Navy beat Kansas City Surf 4–2
- -7Toca Fusion Elite beat Union KC Soccer Club Red 1–0 → Union KC Soccer Club Red lost to Kansas City Surf 1–9
Full picture: Toca Fusion Elite · Kansas City Surf · Heartland BU14 standings