Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 02:00 PM
MVLA 3–1 COSC
Graham Middle School · Turf ↗ · turf · 94040
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 31% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 31% home, 22% draw, 48% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | MVLA | COSC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 3-2-2 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L D W | W W D W L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs 1974 Newark FC | 4–1 vs 1974 Newark FC |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs El Camino FC Salinas | 1–3 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.36 | +0.22 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 3–1 (home for MVLA)
Common opponents: El Camino FC Salinas — MVLA 1–1, 0–5; COSC 2–2. 1974 Newark FC — MVLA 3–1, 1–2; COSC 4–1. San Francisco Elite Academy — MVLA 2–2; COSC 2–1. Marin FC — MVLA 0–1; COSC 1–2, 1–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | COSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 20% | 89% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 26% |
| Average finish | 5.6 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
38 chains
9 favour MVLA, 23 favour COSC, 6 even; average margin -1.5 goals toward MVLA.
- +2MVLA beat COSC 3–1
- 0MVLA lost to Marin FC 0–1 → Marin FC beat COSC 2–1
- 0MVLA drew with El Camino FC Salinas 1–1 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with COSC 2–2
- -1MVLA lost to Marin FC 0–1 → Marin FC drew with COSC 1–1
- -1MVLA drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 2–2 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to COSC 1–2
- -1MVLA beat 1974 Newark FC 3–1 → 1974 Newark FC lost to COSC 1–4
Full picture: MVLA · COSC · Golden State BU16 standings