Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 01:00 PM
Mustang Soccer -RL 1–2 Folsom Lake Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 48% chance. Pre-match odds were 26% home, 26% draw, 48% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer -RL | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D D W | W W D W L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Club America Nido Aguila | Valley | 2–0 vs Mustang Soccer -RL |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Association FC | 1–3 at Placer United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.48 | +0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.15 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Aug 22 0–2 (away for Mustang Soccer -RL); Oct 17 1–2 (home for Mustang Soccer -RL)
Common opponents: Association FC — Mustang Soccer -RL 2–1, 0–5; Folsom Lake Surf 1–1. Club America Nido Aguila | Valley — Mustang Soccer -RL 3–1; Folsom Lake Surf 1–0. San Juan SC — Mustang Soccer -RL 0–0; Folsom Lake Surf 1–0. Placer United — Mustang Soccer -RL 2–2; Folsom Lake Surf 1–3.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer -RL | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 8 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 10% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 6% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
30 chains
15 favour Mustang Soccer -RL, 12 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 3 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward Mustang Soccer -RL.
- -1Mustang Soccer -RL lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–2
- -2Mustang Soccer -RL lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–2
- -1Mustang Soccer -RL drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- +1Mustang Soccer -RL beat Club America Nido Aguila | Valley 3–1 → Club America Nido Aguila | Valley lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- +1Mustang Soccer -RL beat Association FC 2–1 → Association FC drew with Folsom Lake Surf 1–1
- +2Mustang Soccer -RL drew with Placer United 2–2 → Placer United beat Folsom Lake Surf 3–1
Full picture: Mustang Soccer -RL · Folsom Lake Surf · Golden State BU15 standings