Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 12:00 PM
Association FC 1–1 Folsom Lake Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 48% home, 29% draw, 23% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | Association FC | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-2 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D D W | W W D W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs Mustang Soccer -RL | 2–0 vs Mustang Soccer -RL |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Placer United | 1–3 at Placer United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | +0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 1–1 (home for Association FC)
Common opponents: San Juan SC — Association FC 2–0; Folsom Lake Surf 1–0. Mustang Soccer -RL — Association FC 1–2, 5–0; Folsom Lake Surf 2–0, 2–1. Davis Legacy — Association FC 3–0; Folsom Lake Surf 0–1. Club America Nido Aguila | Valley — Association FC 0–0; Folsom Lake Surf 1–0. Placer United — Association FC 0–2; Folsom Lake Surf 1–3.
What's at stake
| Association FC | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 2nd |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 8% | 7% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
37 chains
16 favour Association FC, 13 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 8 even; average margin +0.7 goals toward Association FC.
- 0Association FC drew with Folsom Lake Surf 1–1
- 0Association FC lost to Placer United 0–2 → Placer United beat Folsom Lake Surf 3–1
- -1Association FC drew with Club America Nido Aguila | Valley 0–0 → Club America Nido Aguila | Valley lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- +1Association FC beat San Juan SC 2–0 → San Juan SC lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- -2Association FC lost to Mustang Soccer -RL 1–2 → Mustang Soccer -RL lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–2
- +3Association FC beat Mustang Soccer -RL 5–0 → Mustang Soccer -RL lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–2
Full picture: Association FC · Folsom Lake Surf · Golden State BU15 standings