Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 01:00 PM
Mustang Soccer -RL 2–1 Association FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 17% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 17% home, 22% draw, 61% away, most likely 0–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer -RL | Association FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 3-2-2 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D D W | L W D D W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Club America Nido Aguila | Valley | 5–0 vs Mustang Soccer -RL |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Association FC | 0–2 at Placer United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.48 | +0.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.15 | -0.12 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 2–1 (home for Mustang Soccer -RL); Oct 10 0–5 (away for Mustang Soccer -RL)
Common opponents: Folsom Lake Surf — Mustang Soccer -RL 0–2, 1–2; Association FC 1–1. Club America Nido Aguila | Valley — Mustang Soccer -RL 3–1; Association FC 0–0. San Juan SC — Mustang Soccer -RL 0–0; Association FC 2–0. Placer United — Mustang Soccer -RL 2–2; Association FC 0–2.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer -RL | Association FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 8 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 10% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 8% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 2.9 |
How the results connect
30 chains
9 favour Mustang Soccer -RL, 18 favour Association FC, 3 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward Mustang Soccer -RL.
- +1Mustang Soccer -RL beat Association FC 2–1
- -5Mustang Soccer -RL lost to Association FC 0–5
- -1Mustang Soccer -RL lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–2 → Folsom Lake Surf drew with Association FC 1–1
- +2Mustang Soccer -RL drew with Placer United 2–2 → Placer United beat Association FC 2–0
- -2Mustang Soccer -RL drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC lost to Association FC 0–2
- +2Mustang Soccer -RL beat Club America Nido Aguila | Valley 3–1 → Club America Nido Aguila | Valley drew with Association FC 0–0
Full picture: Mustang Soccer -RL · Association FC · Golden State BU15 standings