Result · Saturday, Oct 10, 12:00 PM
Association FC 1–2 Mustang Soccer -RL
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 38% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 26% draw, 38% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Association FC | Mustang Soccer -RL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-4 | 3-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L W | L W L D L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Folsom Lake Surf | 5–2 at Folsom Lake Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Mustang Soccer -RL | 1–3 vs Club America Nido Aguila | Valley |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.03 | +0.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.04 | +0.27 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 1–3 (away for Association FC); Oct 10 1–2 (home for Association FC)
Common opponents: San Juan SC — Association FC 0–1; Mustang Soccer -RL 0–0. Club America Nido Aguila | Valley — Association FC 0–2; Mustang Soccer -RL 1–3. Folsom Lake Surf — Association FC 4–1; Mustang Soccer -RL 5–2, 0–1. Placer United — Association FC 2–1; Mustang Soccer -RL 0–1.
What's at stake
| Association FC | Mustang Soccer -RL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 27% | 78% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.8 | 4.0 |
How the results connect
30 chains
12 favour Association FC, 14 favour Mustang Soccer -RL, 4 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward Association FC.
- -1Association FC lost to Mustang Soccer -RL 1–2
- -2Association FC lost to Mustang Soccer -RL 1–3
- 0Association FC beat Folsom Lake Surf 4–1 → Folsom Lake Surf lost to Mustang Soccer -RL 2–5
- 0Association FC lost to Club America Nido Aguila | Valley 0–2 → Club America Nido Aguila | Valley beat Mustang Soccer -RL 3–1
- -1Association FC lost to San Juan SC 0–1 → San Juan SC drew with Mustang Soccer -RL 0–0
- +2Association FC beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United beat Mustang Soccer -RL 1–0
Full picture: Association FC · Mustang Soccer -RL · Golden State BU13 standings