Preview · Saturday, May 15, TBD
Force vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Force | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-2-0 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D D W | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Marin FC | 8–1 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.02 | +1.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.54 | -0.62 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Force 6–0; Bay Area Surf 4–2. Mustang SC — Force 3–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. COSC — Force 5–0; Bay Area Surf 8–1. San Juan SC — Force 2–2; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Stanislaus Surf — Force 3–0; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Santa Rosa United — Force 5–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0.
What's at stake
| Force | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 14 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 19% | 11% |
| Average finish | 2.4 | 2.9 |
How the results connect
50 chains
26 favour Force, 20 favour Bay Area Surf, 4 even; average margin +0.7 goals toward Force.
- -1Force drew with San Juan SC 2–2 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +1Force beat Mustang SC 3–0 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +2Force beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -2Force beat COSC 5–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–8
- +3Force beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- +4Force beat Marin FC 6–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 2–4
Full picture: Force · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings