Preview · Saturday, May 8, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 home, 1.5 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 10-1-0 | 6-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.82 | 2.38 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | L W W D W |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at COSC | 8–1 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | — | 4–5 vs MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.99 | +1.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.16 | -0.23 |
Already met this season: Oct 24 5–4 (away for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 3–0; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Davis Legacy — MVLA 3–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Marin FC — MVLA 1–0; Bay Area Surf 4–2. COSC — MVLA 6–1; Bay Area Surf 8–1. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 5–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — MVLA 2–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Mustang SC — MVLA 4–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 3rd |
| Games left | 10 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 69% | 2% |
| Average finish | 1.4 | 3.5 |
How the results connect
66 chains
32 favour MVLA, 24 favour Bay Area Surf, 10 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward MVLA.
- +1MVLA beat Bay Area Surf 5–4
- 0MVLA beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- 0MVLA beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -1MVLA beat Marin FC 1–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 2–4
- +2MVLA beat Mustang SC 4–0 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +2MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings