Preview · Saturday, May 1, 02:00 PM
COSC vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
2%
94%
COSC windrawBay Area Surf win
Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.8 home, 4.9 away)
| Season so far | COSC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-8 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | 3–2 at Santa Rosa United | 8–1 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–8 at Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.33 | +1.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.40 | -0.62 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 1–8 (away for COSC)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 3–2; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 1–1; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Marin FC — COSC 2–4; Bay Area Surf 4–2. Davis Legacy — COSC 0–6; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — COSC 1–6; Bay Area Surf 2–1.
What's at stake
| COSC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 11th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 10% |
| Average finish | 11.0 | 2.9 |
How the results connect
49 chains
3 favour COSC, 43 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 even; average margin -4.0 goals toward COSC.
- -7COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–8
- 0COSC drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- -2COSC beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -4COSC lost to Marin FC 2–4 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 2–4
- -6COSC lost to San Juan SC 1–6 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -9COSC lost to Davis Legacy 0–6 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
Full picture: COSC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings