Preview · Saturday, Apr 24, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Davis Legacy
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 home, 1.2 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Davis Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 5-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 1.89 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W L D W W |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 9–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 vs MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | +0.92 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | -0.53 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–0 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; Davis Legacy 0–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Davis Legacy 9–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Davis Legacy 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Davis Legacy 3–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; Davis Legacy 6–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Davis Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 10% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 5.0 |
How the results connect
44 chains
25 favour Bay Area Surf, 14 favour Davis Legacy, 5 even; average margin +0.7 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC lost to Davis Legacy 0–6
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to Davis Legacy 0–1
- -2Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Davis Legacy 1–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC drew with Davis Legacy 0–0
- -6Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Davis Legacy 0–9
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Davis Legacy · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings