Preview · Sunday, Apr 18, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Force
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 home, 1.6 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 6-2-0 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W W D D W |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 6–0 vs Marin FC |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | +2.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | -0.54 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; Force 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Force 5–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Force 3–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Force 2–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Force 3–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; Force 5–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 3rd |
| Games left | 15 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 20% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 2.3 |
How the results connect
50 chains
20 favour Bay Area Surf, 26 favour Force, 4 even; average margin -0.7 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC drew with Force 2–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to Force 0–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC lost to Force 0–5
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Force 0–5
- -3Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Force 0–3
- -4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC lost to Force 0–6
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Force · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings