Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
MVLA vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 home, 1.4 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 9-1-0 | 7-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W L W D |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at COSC | 11–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 1–2 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.01 | +1.94 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | -0.21 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–1 (away for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 3–0; San Juan SC 9–0. Marin FC — MVLA 1–0; San Juan SC 2–0. Force — MVLA 2–2; San Juan SC 2–2. COSC — MVLA 6–1; San Juan SC 6–1. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 5–0; San Juan SC 11–1. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 3–0; San Juan SC 2–0. Mustang SC — MVLA 4–0; San Juan SC 3–2. Placer United — MVLA 4–1; San Juan SC 2–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 94% |
| Chance of 1st | 66% | 2% |
| Average finish | 1.5 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
70 chains
31 favour MVLA, 27 favour San Juan SC, 12 even; average margin -0.3 goals toward MVLA.
- +1MVLA beat San Juan SC 2–1
- 0MVLA beat COSC 6–1 → COSC lost to San Juan SC 1–6
- 0MVLA drew with Force 2–2 → Force drew with San Juan SC 2–2
- +1MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 3–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to San Juan SC 0–2
- -1MVLA beat Marin FC 1–0 → Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 0–2
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 4–1 → Placer United lost to San Juan SC 1–2
Full picture: MVLA · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings