Preview · Sunday, Mar 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Marin FC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.5 home, 0.9 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 4-1-5 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 1.30 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | L W W D L |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 4–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–6 at Force |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | -0.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | +0.08 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 4–2 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Marin FC 4–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Marin FC 2–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Marin FC 0–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Marin FC 2–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Marin FC 0–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; Marin FC 4–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 7th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 11% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 6.6 |
How the results connect
48 chains
31 favour Bay Area Surf, 14 favour Marin FC, 3 even; average margin +1.9 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 0–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 0–4
- -2Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 0–2
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy drew with Marin FC 0–0
- +3Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings