Preview · Saturday, Nov 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Pleasanton RAGE
Forecast
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.7 home, 0.8 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Pleasanton RAGE |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 4-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 1.44 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | L L W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | -0.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | -0.35 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; Pleasanton RAGE 2–1. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Pleasanton RAGE 1–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Pleasanton RAGE 0–3. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Pleasanton RAGE 0–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Pleasanton RAGE 4–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Pleasanton RAGE 1–3. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; Pleasanton RAGE 4–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Pleasanton RAGE | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 6th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 7.1 |
How the results connect
56 chains
41 favour Bay Area Surf, 10 favour Pleasanton RAGE, 5 even; average margin +2.4 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC lost to Pleasanton RAGE 1–2
- +3Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United drew with Pleasanton RAGE 1–1
- -4Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Pleasanton RAGE 0–4
- +5Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC lost to Pleasanton RAGE 2–4
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy beat Pleasanton RAGE 3–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Pleasanton RAGE · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings