Preview · Saturday, Nov 7, 05:45 PM
Bay Area Surf vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 home, 1.8 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 7-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 2.20 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W W L W D |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 11–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 1–2 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | +1.94 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | -0.21 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 2–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; San Juan SC 2–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; San Juan SC 11–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; San Juan SC 3–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; San Juan SC 9–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; San Juan SC 6–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 4th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 95% |
| Chance of 1st | 11% | 2% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
49 chains
21 favour Bay Area Surf, 26 favour San Juan SC, 2 even; average margin -0.8 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 0–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to San Juan SC 2–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC lost to San Juan SC 1–6
- -7Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to San Juan SC 1–11
- -9Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–9
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings