Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 10:00 AM
Bay Area Surf 8–1 COSC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 97% chance. Pre-match odds were 97% home, 2% draw, 1% away, most likely 5–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | COSC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 1-1-8 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 0.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 3–2 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 1–8 at Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | -2.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | +0.40 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 8–1 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; COSC 2–4. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; COSC 3–2. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; COSC 1–6. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; COSC 1–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; COSC 0–6.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | COSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 11th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 11% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 11.0 |
How the results connect
49 chains
43 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 favour COSC, 3 even; average margin +4.0 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +7Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf drew with COSC 1–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to COSC 2–3
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC beat COSC 4–2
- +6Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC beat COSC 6–1
- +9Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy beat COSC 6–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · COSC · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings