Result · Sunday, Aug 30, TBD
Bay Area Surf 3–0 Santa Rosa United
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 99% chance. Pre-match odds were 99% home, 1% draw, 0% away, most likely 6–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 0-1-9 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 0.10 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 4.9 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | — |
| Worst loss | — | 1–11 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | -3.12 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | +0.54 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 3–0 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Santa Rosa United 1–7. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Santa Rosa United 1–11. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Santa Rosa United 0–9. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; Santa Rosa United 2–3.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 12th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 10% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 11.9 |
How the results connect
49 chains
48 favour Bay Area Surf, 1 favour Santa Rosa United; average margin +5.9 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0
- +6Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 4–0
- +8Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC beat Santa Rosa United 3–2
- +8Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 7–1
- +11Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 11–1
- +12Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy beat Santa Rosa United 9–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings