TableChase Clubs

Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 03:00 PM

Marin FC 2–4 Bay Area Surf

Final

Marin FC
6th · 1.45 PPG · home
2–4
Bay Area Surf
2nd · 2.71 PPG · away

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 62% chance. Pre-match odds were 18% home, 20% draw, 62% away, most likely 1–2.

Season so farMarin FCBay Area Surf
Position6th2nd
Record (W-D-L)5-1-56-1-0
Points per game1.452.71
Goals for / game1.73.3
Goals against / game1.60.7
Clean sheets43
Held scoreless40
Form (recent first)W L W W DW W D W W
Biggest win4–0 vs Santa Rosa United8–1 vs COSC
Worst loss0–6 at Force—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.10+1.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.01-0.59

Already met this season: Aug 29 2–4 (home for Marin FC)

Common opponents: COSC — Marin FC 4–2; Bay Area Surf 8–1. Mustang SC — Marin FC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 0–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — Marin FC 0–2; Bay Area Surf 2–1.

What's at stake

Marin FCBay Area Surf
Position now6th2nd
Games left1115
Chance of top 40%98%
Chance of 1st0%12%
Average finish6.22.9

How the results connect

54 chains

18 favour Marin FC, 32 favour Bay Area Surf, 4 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward Marin FC.

  • -2Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 2–4
  • 0Marin FC beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
  • +1Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 4–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
  • +2Marin FC beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
  • -3Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 0–2 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
  • -3Marin FC drew with Davis Legacy 0–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3

Full picture: Marin FC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings