Preview · Saturday, May 15, TBD
Force vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Force | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-0 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.75 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 9–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–2 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.30 | +1.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.51 | -0.92 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Force 6–0; Bay Area Surf 9–0. Mustang SC — Force 1–1; Bay Area Surf 2–0. COSC — Force 7–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1. San Juan SC — Force 1–0; Bay Area Surf 1–2. Stanislaus Surf — Force 7–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Force 5–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0.
What's at stake
| Force | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 3rd |
| Games left | 14 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 95% |
| Chance of 1st | 27% | 7% |
| Average finish | 2.0 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
47 chains
25 favour Force, 17 favour Bay Area Surf, 5 even; average margin +0.8 goals toward Force.
- +1Force beat Stanislaus Surf 7–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +2Force beat San Juan SC 1–0 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- -2Force drew with Mustang SC 1–1 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +3Force beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -3Force beat Marin FC 6–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–9
- +5Force beat COSC 7–1 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
Full picture: Force · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU17 standings