Preview · Saturday, May 8, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 11–0 vs Marin FC | 9–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 2–3 at Force | 1–2 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +3.03 | +1.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.11 | -0.92 |
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 2–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Mustang SC — MVLA 2–1; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Marin FC — MVLA 11–0; Bay Area Surf 9–0. COSC — MVLA 9–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1. San Juan SC — MVLA 3–0; Bay Area Surf 1–2.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 66% | 7% |
| Average finish | 1.4 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
54 chains
32 favour MVLA, 14 favour Bay Area Surf, 8 even; average margin +2.1 goals toward MVLA.
- -1MVLA beat Mustang SC 2–1 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 7–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +2MVLA beat Marin FC 11–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–9
- -3MVLA beat Davis Legacy 2–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- +4MVLA beat San Juan SC 3–0 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- +8MVLA beat COSC 9–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU17 standings