Preview · Saturday, May 1, 12:00 PM
COSC vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
7%
9%
84%
COSC windrawBay Area Surf win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.1 home, 3.8 away)
| Season so far | COSC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-5 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L D L | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 7–3 vs Stanislaus Surf | 9–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–9 vs MVLA | 1–2 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.73 | +1.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.08 | -0.92 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–2 (away for COSC)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 5–2; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 7–3; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Marin FC — COSC 5–2; Bay Area Surf 9–0. Davis Legacy — COSC 0–1; Bay Area Surf 5–0. San Juan SC — COSC 2–2; Bay Area Surf 1–2.
What's at stake
| COSC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 95% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 7% |
| Average finish | 8.7 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
47 chains
7 favour COSC, 40 favour Bay Area Surf; average margin -4.0 goals toward COSC.
- -1COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +1COSC drew with San Juan SC 2–2 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- +1COSC beat Santa Rosa United 5–2 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -2COSC beat Stanislaus Surf 7–3 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- -6COSC lost to Davis Legacy 0–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -6COSC beat Marin FC 5–2 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–9
Full picture: COSC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU17 standings