Preview · Sunday, Apr 18, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Force
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 home, 1.5 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 7-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 2.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.99 | +2.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | -0.51 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 9–0; Force 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Force 5–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Force 1–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Force 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Force 7–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Force 7–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 15 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 27% |
| Average finish | 3.0 | 2.0 |
How the results connect
47 chains
17 favour Bay Area Surf, 25 favour Force, 5 even; average margin -0.8 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Force 0–7
- -2Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC lost to Force 0–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC drew with Force 1–1
- -3Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Force 0–5
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0 → Marin FC lost to Force 0–6
- -5Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1 → COSC lost to Force 1–7
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Force · Northern Cal GU17 standings