Preview · Sunday, Mar 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Marin FC
Forecast
Most likely score 6–0 (expected goals 6.7 home, 0.7 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 2-0-8 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 5.6 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L W W L L |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | 4–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | 0–11 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.99 | -3.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | +0.25 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 9–0 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Marin FC 4–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Marin FC 0–8. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Marin FC 1–6. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Marin FC 4–2. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Marin FC 1–4. COSC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Marin FC 2–5.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 10th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 96% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.0 | 10.2 |
How the results connect
45 chains
41 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 favour Marin FC, 1 even; average margin +5.3 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +9Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 0–4
- +4Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1 → COSC beat Marin FC 5–2
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 2–4
- +4Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 6–1
- +8Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 4–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU17 standings