Preview · Sunday, Nov 8, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Placer United
Forecast
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.0 home, 0.8 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Placer United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 6-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 2.11 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L D W W W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | 2–0 at Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | 0–2 at Force |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.99 | +0.34 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | +0.20 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Placer United 4–3. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Placer United 1–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Placer United 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Placer United 2–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Placer United 3–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Placer United 1–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Placer United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 96% | 12% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.0 | 5.4 |
How the results connect
53 chains
32 favour Bay Area Surf, 16 favour Placer United, 5 even; average margin +1.8 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1 → COSC drew with Placer United 1–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to Placer United 0–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Placer United 3–4
- -2Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC lost to Placer United 0–1
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Placer United 2–3
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Placer United 0–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Placer United · Northern Cal GU17 standings