Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 10:55 AM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 home, 1.8 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | 11–0 vs Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | 2–3 at Force |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.99 | +3.03 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | -0.11 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 9–0; MVLA 11–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; MVLA 2–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; MVLA 3–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; MVLA 7–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–0; MVLA 2–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; MVLA 9–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 96% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 66% |
| Average finish | 3.0 | 1.4 |
How the results connect
54 chains
14 favour Bay Area Surf, 32 favour MVLA, 8 even; average margin -2.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 0–7
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to MVLA 1–2
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 0–11
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy lost to MVLA 0–2
- -4Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC lost to MVLA 0–3
- -8Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1 → COSC lost to MVLA 0–9
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Northern Cal GU17 standings