Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 09:00 AM
Bay Area Surf 2–1 COSC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 90% chance. Pre-match odds were 90% home, 6% draw, 4% away, most likely 4–1.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | COSC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.10 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L D L D L |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | 7–3 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | 0–9 vs MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.99 | -0.73 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | +0.08 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–1 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 9–0; COSC 5–2. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; COSC 5–2. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; COSC 2–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; COSC 7–3. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–0; COSC 0–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | COSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 9th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 96% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.0 | 8.7 |
How the results connect
47 chains
40 favour Bay Area Surf, 7 favour COSC; average margin +4.0 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1
- -1Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC drew with COSC 2–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to COSC 2–5
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to COSC 3–7
- +6Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy beat COSC 1–0
- +6Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0 → Marin FC lost to COSC 2–5
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · COSC · Northern Cal GU17 standings