Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 12:00 PM
Stanislaus Surf 2–4 Marin FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 27% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 57% home, 15% draw, 27% away, most likely 3–2.
| Season so far | Stanislaus Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-10 | 2-0-9 |
| Points per game | 0.27 | 0.55 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 4.9 | 5.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 6 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | 7–2 at Santa Rosa United | 4–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at MVLA | 0–11 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.58 | -3.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | +0.31 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–4 (home for Stanislaus Surf)
Common opponents: MVLA — Stanislaus Surf 0–7; Marin FC 0–11. COSC — Stanislaus Surf 3–7; Marin FC 2–5. San Juan SC — Stanislaus Surf 0–2; Marin FC 1–6. Pleasanton RAGE — Stanislaus Surf 1–8; Marin FC 1–5. Placer United — Stanislaus Surf 0–2; Marin FC 0–6. Bay Area Surf — Stanislaus Surf 0–6; Marin FC 0–9. Mustang SC — Stanislaus Surf 1–5; Marin FC 0–8. Force — Stanislaus Surf 0–7; Marin FC 0–6. Davis Legacy — Stanislaus Surf 0–4; Marin FC 1–4. Santa Rosa United — Stanislaus Surf 7–2; Marin FC 4–0.
What's at stake
| Stanislaus Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 11th | 10th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 10.6 | 10.5 |
How the results connect
83 chains
49 favour Stanislaus Surf, 29 favour Marin FC, 5 even; average margin +1.2 goals toward Stanislaus Surf.
- -2Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 2–4
- +1Stanislaus Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–2 → Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 0–4
- -1Stanislaus Surf lost to Davis Legacy 0–4 → Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 4–1
- -1Stanislaus Surf lost to Force 0–7 → Force beat Marin FC 6–0
- -1Stanislaus Surf lost to COSC 3–7 → COSC beat Marin FC 5–2
- +3Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6 → Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0
Full picture: Stanislaus Surf · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU17 standings