Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 12:00 PM
Force 3–2 MVLA
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 36% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 36% home, 23% draw, 41% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Force | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-0 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 11–0 vs Marin FC |
| Worst loss | — | 2–3 at Force |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.30 | +3.03 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.51 | -0.11 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 3–2 (home for Force)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Force 6–0; MVLA 11–0. Mustang SC — Force 1–1; MVLA 2–1. Placer United — Force 2–0; MVLA 2–1. COSC — Force 7–1; MVLA 9–0. San Juan SC — Force 1–0; MVLA 3–0. Stanislaus Surf — Force 7–0; MVLA 7–0.
What's at stake
| Force | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 2nd |
| Games left | 14 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 27% | 66% |
| Average finish | 2.0 | 1.4 |
How the results connect
49 chains
17 favour Force, 29 favour MVLA, 3 even; average margin -1.6 goals toward Force.
- +1Force beat MVLA 3–2
- 0Force beat Stanislaus Surf 7–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 0–7
- +1Force beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United lost to MVLA 1–2
- -1Force drew with Mustang SC 1–1 → Mustang SC lost to MVLA 1–2
- -2Force beat San Juan SC 1–0 → San Juan SC lost to MVLA 0–3
- -3Force beat COSC 7–1 → COSC lost to MVLA 0–9
Full picture: Force · MVLA · Northern Cal GU17 standings