Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 11:00 AM
San Juan SC 2–1 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 26% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 26% home, 24% draw, 50% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | San Juan SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L D L W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Santa Rosa United | 9–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs MVLA | 1–2 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.00 | +1.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.92 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 2–1 (home for San Juan SC)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — San Juan SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — San Juan SC 6–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. COSC — San Juan SC 2–2; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Marin FC — San Juan SC 6–1; Bay Area Surf 9–0.
What's at stake
| San Juan SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 13 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 13% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 7% |
| Average finish | 5.4 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
43 chains
14 favour San Juan SC, 27 favour Bay Area Surf, 2 even; average margin -1.5 goals toward San Juan SC.
- +1San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- -1San Juan SC drew with COSC 2–2 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -4San Juan SC beat Marin FC 6–1 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–9
- +4San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 6–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -4San Juan SC beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- 0San Juan SC lost to Force 0–1 → Force beat Stanislaus Surf 7–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
Full picture: San Juan SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU17 standings