Result · Sunday, Aug 30, TBD
Bay Area Surf 2–0 Santa Rosa United
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 98% chance. Pre-match odds were 98% home, 1% draw, 0% away, most likely 5–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 0-0-9 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 4.9 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | — |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | 1–10 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.98 | -3.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | +0.40 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 2–0 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 9–0; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Santa Rosa United 1–10. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Santa Rosa United 0–6. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Santa Rosa United 0–6. COSC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Santa Rosa United 2–5.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 11th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 9% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.8 | 11.4 |
How the results connect
41 chains
39 favour Bay Area Surf, 1 favour Santa Rosa United, 1 even; average margin +6.9 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- +4Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1 → COSC beat Santa Rosa United 5–2
- +5Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 6–0
- +11Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy beat Santa Rosa United 6–0
- +11Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1
- +13Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0 → Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 4–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU17 standings