Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
MVLA vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.2 home, 0.7 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-1-1 | 3-3-4 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W D L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at COSC | 3–1 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Mustang SC | 1–3 vs Force |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.43 | -0.12 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.31 | -0.03 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 4–2 (away for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 2–0; San Juan SC 3–1. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–2; San Juan SC 0–0. Marin FC — MVLA 2–0; San Juan SC 2–1. Force — MVLA 2–0; San Juan SC 1–3. COSC — MVLA 5–0; San Juan SC 1–2. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 5–1; San Juan SC 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 1–0; San Juan SC 2–3. Placer United — MVLA 3–0; San Juan SC 0–0.
What's at stake
| MVLA | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 8th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 17% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.0 | 8.0 |
How the results connect
68 chains
47 favour MVLA, 13 favour San Juan SC, 8 even; average margin +1.9 goals toward MVLA.
- +2MVLA beat San Juan SC 4–2
- 0MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–3
- +1MVLA beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 1–2
- -1MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC drew with San Juan SC 0–0
- +2MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 1–0 → Pleasanton RAGE beat San Juan SC 3–2
- +2MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 5–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to San Juan SC 0–2
Full picture: MVLA · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU16 standings