Preview · Saturday, Apr 10, TBD
MVLA vs COSC
Forecast
Most likely score 4–0 (expected goals 4.8 home, 0.5 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | COSC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-1-1 | 1-0-10 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 0.27 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 3.9 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at COSC | 2–1 vs San Juan SC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Mustang SC | 0–7 at Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.43 | -2.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | +0.35 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 5–0 (away for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 2–0; COSC 1–2. Davis Legacy — MVLA 1–1; COSC 0–7. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–2; COSC 1–5. Marin FC — MVLA 2–0; COSC 0–5. Force — MVLA 2–0; COSC 2–4. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 5–1; COSC 2–3. San Juan SC — MVLA 4–2; COSC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 1–0; COSC 0–4. Placer United — MVLA 3–0; COSC 0–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | COSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 12th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 16% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.0 | 11.3 |
How the results connect
80 chains
74 favour MVLA, 4 favour COSC, 2 even; average margin +4.4 goals toward MVLA.
- +5MVLA beat COSC 5–0
- +1MVLA beat San Juan SC 4–2 → San Juan SC lost to COSC 1–2
- +3MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC beat COSC 5–1
- +3MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf beat COSC 2–1
- +4MVLA beat Placer United 3–0 → Placer United beat COSC 1–0
- +4MVLA beat Force 2–0 → Force beat COSC 4–2
Full picture: MVLA · COSC · Northern Cal GU16 standings