Result · Saturday, Aug 22, 10:00 AM
Force 2–2 Marin FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 21% draw, 29% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Force | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 4-1-5 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.30 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W W | L W W L L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 7–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Mustang SC | 0–3 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.77 | +0.42 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | -0.01 |
Already met this season: Aug 22 2–2 (home for Force)
Common opponents: Mustang SC — Force 0–2; Marin FC 0–3. COSC — Force 4–2; Marin FC 5–0. MVLA — Force 0–2; Marin FC 0–2. San Juan SC — Force 3–1; Marin FC 1–2. Stanislaus Surf — Force 7–0; Marin FC 3–1.
What's at stake
| Force | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 7th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 31% | 3% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 6.8 |
How the results connect
49 chains
21 favour Force, 18 favour Marin FC, 10 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward Force.
- 0Force drew with Marin FC 2–2
- 0Force lost to MVLA 0–2 → MVLA beat Marin FC 2–0
- +1Force lost to Mustang SC 0–2 → Mustang SC beat Marin FC 3–0
- +3Force beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–1
- -3Force beat COSC 4–2 → COSC lost to Marin FC 0–5
- +5Force beat Stanislaus Surf 7–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 1–3
Full picture: Force · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU16 standings