Preview · Saturday, May 15, TBD
Force vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.7 home, 3.2 away)
| Season so far | Force | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-5 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 5 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L L | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 2–1 vs Stanislaus Surf | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Mustang SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.45 | +1.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.29 | +0.01 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Force 1–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Mustang SC — Force 0–5; Bay Area Surf 2–2. COSC — Force 0–4; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — Force 0–5; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Stanislaus Surf — Force 2–1; Bay Area Surf 4–1. Santa Rosa United — Force 1–0; Bay Area Surf 7–1.
What's at stake
| Force | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 1st |
| Games left | 14 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 9.2 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
50 chains
6 favour Force, 42 favour Bay Area Surf, 2 even; average margin -4.0 goals toward Force.
- -1Force drew with Marin FC 1–1 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -2Force beat Stanislaus Surf 2–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–4
- -5Force beat Santa Rosa United 1–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–7
- -5Force lost to Mustang SC 0–5 → Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- -7Force lost to San Juan SC 0–5 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -7Force lost to COSC 0–4 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
Full picture: Force · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU15 standings