Preview · Saturday, May 8, 02:00 PM
COSC vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 home, 2.6 away)
| Season so far | COSC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-2-2 | 7-3-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W D D | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–1 at Santa Rosa United | 12–0 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | +2.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -0.45 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 7–1; Mustang SC 12–0. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 1–0; Mustang SC 5–0. Marin FC — COSC 2–0; Mustang SC 1–1. Force — COSC 4–0; Mustang SC 5–0. Davis Legacy — COSC 3–4; Mustang SC 3–2. MVLA — COSC 2–2; Mustang SC 1–1. San Juan SC — COSC 2–2; Mustang SC 1–0. Pleasanton RAGE — COSC 1–0; Mustang SC 7–0. Placer United — COSC 2–0; Mustang SC 8–0. Bay Area Surf — COSC 0–3; Mustang SC 2–2.
What's at stake
| COSC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 53% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 47% |
| Average finish | 4.6 | 1.7 |
How the results connect
82 chains
19 favour COSC, 52 favour Mustang SC, 11 even; average margin -2.7 goals toward COSC.
- 0COSC drew with MVLA 2–2 → MVLA drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -1COSC drew with San Juan SC 2–2 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -1COSC beat Force 4–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–5
- -2COSC lost to Davis Legacy 3–4 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- +2COSC beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -3COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3 → Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
Full picture: COSC · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU15 standings