Preview · Saturday, May 8, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 home, 1.6 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-0 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W D | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 10–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.86 | +1.55 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.45 | +0.00 |
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 10–0; Bay Area Surf 4–1. Davis Legacy — MVLA 4–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–1; Bay Area Surf 2–2. Marin FC — MVLA 9–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1. COSC — MVLA 2–2; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 6–0; Bay Area Surf 7–1. San Juan SC — MVLA 3–2; Bay Area Surf 3–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 41% | 12% |
| Average finish | 1.8 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
63 chains
32 favour MVLA, 22 favour Bay Area Surf, 9 even; average margin +1.3 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 6–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–7
- 0MVLA drew with Mustang SC 1–1 → Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- -1MVLA beat San Juan SC 3–2 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -3MVLA drew with COSC 2–2 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +3MVLA beat Davis Legacy 4–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +7MVLA beat Marin FC 9–1 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU15 standings