Preview · Saturday, May 1, 02:00 PM
COSC vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
31%
22%
47%
COSC windrawBay Area Surf win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 home, 1.9 away)
| Season so far | COSC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-2-2 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W D D | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 7–1 at Santa Rosa United | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | +1.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 0–3 (away for COSC)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 7–1; Bay Area Surf 7–1. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 4–1. Marin FC — COSC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Davis Legacy — COSC 3–4; Bay Area Surf 2–1. San Juan SC — COSC 2–2; Bay Area Surf 3–1.
What's at stake
| COSC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 51% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 4.6 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
13 favour COSC, 27 favour Bay Area Surf, 9 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward COSC.
- -3COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- 0COSC beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–7
- +1COSC beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -2COSC drew with San Juan SC 2–2 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -2COSC lost to Davis Legacy 3–4 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -2COSC beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–4
Full picture: COSC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU15 standings