Preview · Sunday, Apr 18, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Force
Forecast
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.7 home, 0.6 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 2-1-5 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 0.88 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | W W L L L |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 2–1 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 0–5 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.57 | -1.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | +0.29 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Force 1–1. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 7–1; Force 1–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Force 0–5. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Force 0–5. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–1; Force 2–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Force 0–4.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 9th |
| Games left | 15 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 13% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 9.2 |
How the results connect
50 chains
42 favour Bay Area Surf, 6 favour Force, 2 even; average margin +4.0 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC drew with Force 1–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Force 1–2
- +5Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat Force 5–0
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Force 0–1
- +7Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC beat Force 4–0
- +7Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC beat Force 5–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Force · Northern Cal GU15 standings