Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
MVLA vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.5 home, 1.4 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-0 | 5-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals for / game | 4.9 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W D | W L L D W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 7–0 at Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.87 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.48 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 3–2 (away for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 10–0; San Juan SC 4–1. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–1; San Juan SC 0–1. Marin FC — MVLA 9–1; San Juan SC 3–2. Force — MVLA 2–0; San Juan SC 5–0. COSC — MVLA 2–2; San Juan SC 2–2. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 6–0; San Juan SC 4–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 10–0; San Juan SC 7–0. Placer United — MVLA 2–2; San Juan SC 2–3.
What's at stake
| MVLA | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 6th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 37% |
| Chance of 1st | 42% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.8 | 4.9 |
How the results connect
70 chains
44 favour MVLA, 18 favour San Juan SC, 8 even; average margin +2.4 goals toward MVLA.
- +1MVLA beat San Juan SC 3–2
- 0MVLA drew with COSC 2–2 → COSC drew with San Juan SC 2–2
- +1MVLA drew with Placer United 2–2 → Placer United beat San Juan SC 3–2
- +1MVLA drew with Mustang SC 1–1 → Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 1–0
- +2MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 6–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to San Juan SC 0–4
- +3MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 10–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to San Juan SC 0–7
Full picture: MVLA · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU15 standings