Preview · Sunday, Nov 8, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Placer United
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Placer United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 5-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 1.89 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | D L W L W |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 7–1 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | — | 0–8 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.57 | +0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.05 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 7–1; Placer United 2–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Placer United 0–8. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Placer United 3–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–1; Placer United 2–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Placer United 0–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Placer United 0–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Placer United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 5th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 13% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 5.5 |
How the results connect
56 chains
40 favour Bay Area Surf, 12 favour Placer United, 4 even; average margin +1.9 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy drew with Placer United 0–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC lost to Placer United 2–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Placer United 1–2
- +5Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC beat Placer United 2–0
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Placer United 1–2
- +8Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat Placer United 8–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Placer United · Northern Cal GU15 standings