Preview · Saturday, Nov 7, 12:20 PM
Bay Area Surf vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 home, 1.6 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 5-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 1.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | W L L D W |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 7–0 at Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.57 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 3–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; San Juan SC 3–2. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 7–1; San Juan SC 4–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; San Juan SC 0–1. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–1; San Juan SC 4–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; San Juan SC 2–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 6th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 35% |
| Chance of 1st | 13% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 4.9 |
How the results connect
49 chains
24 favour Bay Area Surf, 16 favour San Juan SC, 9 even; average margin +0.4 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 3–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to San Juan SC 1–4
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 2–3
- +1Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 1–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to San Juan SC 0–4
- +3Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC drew with San Juan SC 2–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU15 standings