Preview · Saturday, Oct 31, 12:40 PM
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 home, 2.3 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 12–0 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.57 | +2.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.45 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–2 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Mustang SC 1–1. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 7–1; Mustang SC 12–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Mustang SC 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–1; Mustang SC 5–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Mustang SC 3–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 3rd |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 47% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 1.7 |
How the results connect
49 chains
17 favour Bay Area Surf, 24 favour Mustang SC, 8 even; average margin -1.5 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- +1Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–5
- -6Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 0–12
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU15 standings