Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 02:35 PM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 home, 2.4 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | D W W W D |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 10–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.57 | +2.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.48 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; MVLA 9–1. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 7–1; MVLA 6–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; MVLA 1–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; MVLA 3–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–1; MVLA 10–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; MVLA 4–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 2–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 2nd |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 41% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
62 chains
22 favour Bay Area Surf, 32 favour MVLA, 8 even; average margin -1.3 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC drew with MVLA 1–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 0–6
- +1Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC lost to MVLA 2–3
- +3Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC drew with MVLA 2–2
- -3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy lost to MVLA 0–4
- -7Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 0–10
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Northern Cal GU15 standings