Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 11:55 AM
Bay Area Surf 3–0 COSC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 57% chance. Pre-match odds were 57% home, 20% draw, 23% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | COSC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 6-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | L W W D D |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 7–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.57 | +0.76 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.28 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 3–0 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; COSC 2–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 7–1; COSC 7–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; COSC 2–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–1; COSC 1–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; COSC 3–4.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | COSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 53% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 4.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
27 favour Bay Area Surf, 13 favour COSC, 9 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +3Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to COSC 1–7
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC lost to COSC 0–2
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat COSC 4–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to COSC 0–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC drew with COSC 2–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · COSC · Northern Cal GU15 standings