Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 11:00 AM
San Juan SC 0–1 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 69% chance. Pre-match odds were 16% home, 16% draw, 69% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | San Juan SC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-4 | 7-3-0 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L D W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at Pleasanton RAGE | 12–0 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | +2.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.45 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 0–1 (home for San Juan SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — San Juan SC 2–3; Mustang SC 8–0. Pleasanton RAGE — San Juan SC 7–0; Mustang SC 7–0. Stanislaus Surf — San Juan SC 4–1; Mustang SC 5–0. Santa Rosa United — San Juan SC 4–0; Mustang SC 12–0. Bay Area Surf — San Juan SC 1–3; Mustang SC 2–2. Force — San Juan SC 5–0; Mustang SC 5–0. MVLA — San Juan SC 2–3; Mustang SC 1–1. Marin FC — San Juan SC 3–2; Mustang SC 1–1.
What's at stake
| San Juan SC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 33% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 46% |
| Average finish | 4.9 | 1.7 |
How the results connect
67 chains
15 favour San Juan SC, 45 favour Mustang SC, 7 even; average margin -2.3 goals toward San Juan SC.
- -1San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- 0San Juan SC beat Force 5–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–5
- 0San Juan SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 7–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–7
- +1San Juan SC beat Marin FC 3–2 → Marin FC drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -1San Juan SC lost to MVLA 2–3 → MVLA drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -2San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3 → Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
Full picture: San Juan SC · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU15 standings