Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 03:00 PM
Mustang SC 2–2 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 17% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 66% home, 17% draw, 17% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-0 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 12–0 at Santa Rosa United | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.85 | +1.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.45 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–2 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 3–2; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–0; Bay Area Surf 4–1. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 12–0; Bay Area Surf 7–1. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 3–1.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 47% | 12% |
| Average finish | 1.7 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
24 favour Mustang SC, 17 favour Bay Area Surf, 8 even; average margin +1.5 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- 0Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 3–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -1Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 1–0 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -1Mustang SC drew with Marin FC 1–1 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +2Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–4
- +6Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 12–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–7
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU15 standings